Alerts on new CA/TX liquor-license applications so vendors (POS, insurance, food distributors) can pitch restaurants before they open.
“Market-tested” means a real shipped product or experiment measured the failure directly (a live user count, a dead auction, a documented shutdown). “Predicted” means the verdict is an evidence-based forecast from the receipts below, not a direct measurement.
Genuine: sales teams verifiably buy new-business leads, and a new liquor application is a strong pre-opening signal. The demand is real — but examine what is actually being bought (see below).
Measured graveyard plus a labor trap. Six-plus prior attempts at this exact product are tiny or dead, including a near-identical Apify actor sitting at 2 users. The raw signal is free at the source — California ABC publishes daily license reports and Texas licensing data is on the state open-data portal — so the data itself prices at $0. What lead buyers actually pay for is contact enrichment: the owner's cell number and email attached to each application, which is recurring human research labor (the incumbent lead sellers are staffed services, not software). And the buyers are SDR-driven sales orgs reached by outbound sales, not by marketplace listings. Software-only versions of this have been tried and measured at approximately zero.
The paid layer becoming servable without human enrichment — e.g., reliable automated owner-contact resolution that lead buyers accept — would change the labor economics. Treat any such automation claim as unproven until a lead buyer pays for unenriched or auto-enriched output.
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